- 비핵화 조치 이전 종전선언 기대했으나 美 선 비핵화 요구
미국의 새로운 뉴스 미디어의 강자로 떠오른 복스(VOX) 뉴스가 북한이 트럼프가 싱가포르 북미 정상회담 당시 트럼프 미 대통령이 김정은 위원장에게 약속했던 종전선언을 미국이 이행하지 않는데 대해 분노하고 있다고 단독 보도했다.
이 뉴스는 트럼프의 약속과는 달리 트럼프 행정부는 평양에 그런 문서에 서명하기 전 우선 핵무기의 대부분을 해체할 것을 요구했고 그 결정이 양국 간 협상이 교착에 빠지고 최근 북한이 점점 호전적인 발언을 하는 이유일 것이라고 분석했다.
VOX 뉴스는 지난 29일 ‘Exclusive: Trump promised Kim Jong Un he’d sign an agreement to end the Korean War-단독: 트럼프, 김정은에 종전 협정 약속‘이라는 제목의 단독보도에서 이같이 전하며 “북한 사람들이 왜 화를 내는지 이해할 만 하다”, “트럼프가 평화 협정을 약속하고는 그 다음 규칙을 바꾸고 평화 협정에 조건을 다는 것은 미국이 약속을 저버리는 것으로 보일 것이다.”라는 소식통의 말을 인용보도 했다.
이 기사는 한국전쟁에 대한 간략한 소개와 함께 “전쟁은 1953년에 끝났지만, 전쟁 당사자들은 그저 휴전을 체결했을 뿐이다. 이것은 엄밀히 말하면 전쟁이 오늘날까지 이어진다는 뜻”이라며 “남북한은 비무장지대로 알려진 국경과 그 주변에 병력과 무기들을 배치하고 있다. 이는 북한이 외교 정책의 방향을 미국과 한국의 추후 공격을 어떻게 저지할 수 있을지에 맞추어, 미국 본토 전역에 도달할 수 있는 약 65대의 핵탄두와 미사일들을 포함한 강력한 핵무기 개발을 해낸 주요 이유”라고 북의 핵개발 배경을 설명했다.
이 보도는 미국의 정전선언은 북의 김정은 위원장에게 비핵화를 정당화할 수 있는 정치적 명분을 제공할 수 있을 것이라고 분석하며 “그 선언이 없이는, 김정은이 트럼프에 하는 어떠한 양보도 북한의 지도자가 철천지원수에게 항복하는 것으로 보일 수 있다”고 내다봤다.
이어 VOX 뉴스는 트럼프 대통령이 북한 지도자에게 자신들의 만남 이후 곧 평화 선언문에 서명하겠다는 약속을 했으나 이행되지 않고 있는 배경에 대해 폼페이오 국무장관, 볼튼 안보보좌관 등 미국의 관리들이 선 종전선언에 대해 반대하고 있다며 “트럼프 행정부의 몇몇 익명의 관료들이 트럼프 대통령의 의도에 역행하고 있다”는 북한 외무성의 성명을 인용했다.
VOX 뉴스는 평양의 관료들에게는 트럼프 대통령이 약속을 하곤 미 국무장관이 그 약속을 지키지 않은 것처럼 보인다고 북이 격노하고 있는 이유를 설명했다. 기사는 말미에 “현 시점에서, 현 협상 국면에 근거할 때 볼튼-매티스 노선이 승리한 것으로 보인다. 그러나 미국이나 북한이 어느 정도의 양보를 하지 않는다면, 회담은 계속 교착 상태에 빠질 것이다. 그리고 만일 그런 일이 벌어진다면, 트럼프는 대화를 전면 중단하기로 결정할 수도 있으며 군사적 선택을 재고할 수도 있다”고 우려했다.
VOX 뉴스는 복스미디어 그룹에서 2014년 창간된 온라인 매체로 워싱턴포스트(WP)의 스타 기자이자 유명 데이터 전문 블로거였던 에즈라 클라인(32)이 창업자 겸 편집국장으로 옮겨 미국 언론계에 충격을 주었던 매체로 강력한 해설을 위주로 한 기사로 평판을 얻고 있다.
다음은 뉴스프로가 번역한 VOX 뉴스의 기사 전문이다. Exclusive: Trump promised Kim Jong Un he’d sign an agreement to end the Korean War He hasn’t followed through yet — and North Korea talks may have stalled because of it. 그는 그 약속을 아직 이행하지 않았고 – 북미회담은 그 이유로 교착 상태에 빠져 있을지 모른다.
President Donald Trump told North Korean leader Kim Jong Un during their Singapore summit in June that he’d sign a declaration to end the Korean War soon after their meeting, according to multiple sources familiar with the negotiations. 6월의 싱가포르 회담에서 도널드 트럼프 대통령은 북한의 김정은 위원장에게 회담 후 곧 한국 전쟁 종전 선언에 서명하겠다고 말했다고 협상 내용을 잘 아는 여러 소식통이 전했다. But since then, the Trump administration has repeatedly asked Pyongyang to dismantle most of its nuclear arsenal first, before signing such a document. That decision is likely what has led to the current stalemate in negotiations between the two countries — and the increasingly hostile rhetoric from North Korea. “It makes sense why the North Koreans are angry,” one source told me. “Having Trump promise a peace declaration and then moving the goalposts and making it conditional would be seen as the US reneging on its commitments.” Here’s the background: North Korea invaded South Korea in 1950, which started the war. The United States, as part of a United Nations force, intervened on behalf of South Korea, and China later intervened on behalf of the communist North. It was a bloody conflict that ultimately killed some 5 million soldiers and civilians. Fighting ceased in 1953, but the warring parties only signed an armistice — a truce — which means the war technically continues to this day. Both Koreas still have troops and weaponry at or near the border, known as the Demilitarized Zone. This is one major reason North Korea has oriented its foreign policy around how to deter a future attack by the United States and South Korea, mostly by developing a strong nuclear program that includes around 65 nuclear warheads and missiles that can reach all parts of the US mainland. But during a New Year’s Day address, Kim noted that he wanted to focus more on improving his country’s economy, which is one of the world’s poorest. To do so, experts tell me, Kim needs a peace declaration to end the Korean War. This would provide political cover for him to denuclearize part — or, less likely, all — of his arsenal. Without that declaration, any concession Kim makes to Trump could make the North Korean leader look like he’s capitulating to a sworn enemy. A signed peace declaration between the US and North Korea would not legally end the war, experts say, because it wouldn’t be a full treaty and probably wouldn’t include China, which defended North Korea during the war. But a declaration would be formal enough that both leaders could say the hostilities officially ended. Kim in particular believes he needs the declaration first to avoid criticism from North Korea’s military, a top South Korean official told the Atlantic on Wednesday. What Trump told Kim
According to two people familiar with Trump and Kim’s discussions in Singapore during the June 12 summit, Trump promised the North Korean leader that he’d sign a peace declaration soon after they met. (The two sources requested anonymity to discuss sensitive negotiations.) It’s still unclear whether Kim requested this or if Trump brought it up, and whether Trump promised to sign the declaration by a certain date. A source also noted that North Korea believes Trump made the same promise to Kim Yong Chol, a top North Korean official close to Kim Jong Un, at the White House on June 1 — 11 days before the summit. That tracks with Trump’s comments during a press conference in Singapore after meeting with Kim. “What we signed today had a lot of things included. You had things that were not included that we got after the deal was signed,” he said in response to a question about whether both leaders had discussed a peace agreement. When contacted about this story, the White House declined to comment. When a reporter asked top State Department spokesperson Heather Nauert on Wednesday whether or not Trump made the promise to Kim, she said “I’m not familiar with that being part of the overall agreement, but I can tell you that we believe that denuclearization has to take place before we get to other parts.” It’s very likely that other parties to the war, mainly South Korea, would sign on to a peace declaration. Both Koreas have openly stated that they hope for a signed agreement by the fall, and have set a year’s end deadline. South Korean President Moon Jae-in has even presented Washington and Pyongyang with a potential four-point declaration plan, according to the Atlantic. So it seems like Kim took Trump at his word in Singapore. And in the agreement Kim and Trump signed after their summit, two items about establishing peace between the two countries came before a denuclearization commitment, which helps explain why North Korea thinks a peace declaration should come before nuclear concessions. But Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has repeatedly asked Pyongyang to hand over 60 to 70 percent of its nuclear warheads within six to eight months. 하지만 마이크 폼페이오 미 국무장관은 6-8개월 이내에 60-70퍼센트의 핵탄두를 양도할 것을 평양에 수 차례 요청했다. That pressure angered Kim, a source told me, since the North Korean leader believes he was promised that a signed declaration would come before any nuclear concessions — which may be the reason statements from Pyongyang about nuclear talks have turned increasingly antagonistic. On August 9, North Korea’s foreign ministry issued a scathing statement accusing some unnamed members of the Trump administration of “going against the intention of president Trump.” (It’s clear from the statement that Pompeo is one of the targeted administration members.) US officials also told Reuters on the same day that the North Koreans “view Trump as [having] a softer touch.” When a July meeting between Pompeo and his North Korean counterparts hit a snag, the North Korean negotiators asked Pompeo to step outside and called Trump directly instead, the officials added. Trump’s comment during the Singapore summit helps explain why North Korea is so furious: To Pyongyang officials, it probably looks like the president made a promise and the secretary of state isn’t keeping it. Last Friday, Trump canceled Pompeo’s trip to Pyongyang, which was scheduled for this week, because North Korea sent an angry letter — but also noted he looks forward to meeting with Kim again. The irony is that reports in the South Korean press suggest Pompeo was about to offer North Korea a deal: The US would sign the peace declaration and North Korea would hand over a partial list detailing components of its nuclear program. It’s unclear, though, if the US was actually willing to make that deal. There’s resistance to Trump signing a declaration within the administration
Harry Kazianis, a North Korea expert at the Center for the National Interest think tank in Washington, said he thought Trump’s apparent willingness to sign a declaration to end the Korean War is a good thing. “I would argue Trump had every reason to offer to sign — and most likely brought up first — the idea of a Korean peace declaration,” he said. “It would be a legacy builder, something Trump could always say he was part of, something clearly in the win column for his administration. It’s also something North Korea has been wanting for decades and clearly something South Korea would support.” But top officials in the Trump administration, like National Security Adviser John Bolton and Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis, have argued against the president signing such a declaration. There are two major reasons why. First, the US wants to ensure North Korea is serious about dismantling its nuclear program — that’s why Pompeo is pushing so hard for Pyongyang to give up much of its nuclear arsenal up front. North Korea has lied in past negotiations about its willingness to part with its warheads, so it’s understandable why the administration would be so skeptical. Second, it’s possible North Korea would then push for the withdrawal of America’s 28,500 troops from South Korea. Trump might agree to that because he’s openly questioned why the US still maintain a troop presence on the peninsula. A staunch US ally, South Korea relies on American military support to defend against the military threat from Pyongyang. Both Bolton and Mattis would want to see the peace continue between the two Koreas after signing a declaration. It makes sense, though, that US security officials would worry about pulling troops from the Demilitarized Zone or doing anything that would make US allies in East Asia skittish. The State Department, according to the Washington Post, is fine with signing a peace declaration, as it falls short of an actual formal, legally binding peace treaty. At this point, based on the current status of negotiations, it seems the Bolton-and-Mattis camp has won. But unless the US or North Korea make some sort of concession, the talks will likely continue to stall. And if that happens, Trump may choose to scrap talks altogether — and reconsider his military options. |
뉴스프로 (TheNewsPro) balnews21@gmail.com
1